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IMAT Biology · Genetics and Inheritance

Punnett Squares, Probability, Test Crosses and Dihybrid Crosses

A cross is predicted by listing each parent's gametes and combining them; for two or more independent genes, solve each gene alone and multiply.

Why this matters

Dihybrid crosses were asked in 2011, 2012, 2015 and 2016: the most likely genotype, which parents give a set genotype, and how many phenotypes a cross can produce. A 2017 question combined a recessive condition with the sex of the child, a two-step probability.

Concept 1 of 4: Monohybrid crosses and the Punnett square

Each parent gives each child one allele, picked at random. A Punnett square simply lists one parent's possible gametes across the top and the other parent's down the side, so every box is one equally likely child. Count the boxes and you have the expected ratios.

Definition

A monohybrid cross follows one gene.

  • Write each parent's gametes: AAAA gives only AA; AaAa gives AA and aa in equal numbers.
  • Combine every gamete with every gamete (the Punnett square).
  • Aa×AaAa \times Aa gives genotypes 1 AA:2 Aa:1 aa1\ AA : 2\ Aa : 1\ aa and phenotypes 33 dominant :1: 1 recessive.
  • AA×aaAA \times aa gives all AaAa (the F1F_1 generation); crossing two F1F_1 gives the F2F_2 with its 3 : 1 ratio.
  • Ratios are probabilities for each child, not guarantees for a small family.

Cross of two heterozygotes

Aa×Aa→14 AA+12 Aa+14 aaAa \times Aa \rightarrow \tfrac{1}{4}\,AA + \tfrac{1}{2}\,Aa + \tfrac{1}{4}\,aa
  • AAdominant allele
  • aarecessive allele

Worked example

In guinea pigs, black fur (BB) is dominant to white fur (bb). Two heterozygous black guinea pigs have 64 offspring in total. How many are expected to be black, how many white, and what fraction of the black offspring are heterozygous?
Practice this conceptself-check · 4 quick reps

A 3 : 1 ratio is a probability, not a rule for each family

Two carriers with four children will not always have exactly one affected child. Each child independently has a 14\tfrac14 chance. The ratio appears only in large numbers of offspring.

Concept 2 of 4: Probability rules for crosses: multiply for AND, add for OR

Each child is a fresh draw: earlier children do not change the odds for the next one. When you need two independent things to happen together (affected AND a boy, or first child AND second child), multiply. When the outcome can happen in different ways that cannot both occur, add the ways.

Definition

  • Product rule: for independent events, P(A and B)=P(A)×P(B)P(\text{A and B}) = P(\text{A}) \times P(\text{B}).
  • Sum rule: for events that cannot happen together, P(A or B)=P(A)+P(B)P(\text{A or B}) = P(\text{A}) + P(\text{B}).
  • The sex of a child is independent of an autosomal gene: P(boy)=12P(\text{boy}) = \tfrac12.
  • "At least one" is easiest as 1−P(none)1 - P(\text{none}).
  • "Exactly one of two children" can happen in two orders (first only, or second only): add both.

Product and sum rules

P(A∩B)=P(A) P(B)P(A∪B)=P(A)+P(B)P(A \cap B) = P(A)\,P(B) \qquad P(A \cup B) = P(A) + P(B)
  • P(A∩B)P(A \cap B)probability that A and B both happen (independent events)
  • P(A∪B)P(A \cup B)probability that A or B happens (events that exclude each other)

Worked example

Two parents are both carriers (CcCc) of an autosomal recessive condition. Find the probability that (a) their next child is an affected boy, (b) their next two children are both unaffected, (c) at least one of their next two children is affected.
Practice this conceptself-check · 4 quick reps

Earlier children do not change the odds

If two carriers already have an affected child, the next child still has exactly a 14\tfrac14 chance of being affected. Each fertilisation is a new, independent event. Options that lower or raise the chance because of previous children are wrong.

"An affected boy" is not "a boy who is affected"

"The next child is an affected boy" multiplies by 12\tfrac12 for the sex. "If the next child is a boy, is he affected?" does not, because the sex is already given. Read which one the question asks before multiplying.

Concept 3 of 4: The test cross: revealing an unknown genotype

A plant with the dominant phenotype could be TTTT or TtTt; you cannot tell by looking. Cross it with a homozygous recessive partner, whose gametes carry only the recessive allele. Then each offspring shows exactly the allele that came from the unknown parent, so the offspring read out its gametes directly.

Definition

A test cross (backcross to the recessive) crosses an individual showing the dominant phenotype with a homozygous recessive individual.

  • If the unknown is AAAA: all offspring show the dominant phenotype.
  • If the unknown is AaAa: offspring are dominant and recessive in a 1 : 1 ratio.
  • A single recessive offspring proves the unknown parent is AaAa. All dominant offspring only makes AAAA likely, more so with more offspring.

Test cross outcomes

AA×aa→all AaAa×aa→12 Aa+12 aaAA \times aa \rightarrow \text{all } Aa \qquad Aa \times aa \rightarrow \tfrac12\,Aa + \tfrac12\,aa
  • aaaathe homozygous recessive tester

Worked example

A black guinea pig (black BB dominant to white bb) is crossed with a white one. (a) The litters contain 5 black and 5 white young. What is the black parent's genotype? (b) A different black guinea pig, crossed with white ones, has 12 young, all black. How likely is it to get 12 black young if this parent were BbBb?
Practice this conceptself-check · 3 quick reps

Concept 4 of 4: Dihybrid crosses: the 9 : 3 : 3 : 1 ratio and the branch method

When two genes sit on different chromosomes, each gene is inherited as if the other did not exist. So a dihybrid cross is really two monohybrid crosses running side by side. Work out each gene alone, then multiply: that is far faster than drawing a 16-box square, and it scales to three or more genes.

Definition

For genes that assort independently (on different chromosomes) with complete dominance:

  • AaBb×AaBbAaBb \times AaBb gives phenotypes 9 : 3 : 3 : 1 (34×34\tfrac34 \times \tfrac34, 34×14\tfrac34 \times \tfrac14, 14×34\tfrac14 \times \tfrac34, 14×14\tfrac14 \times \tfrac14).
  • The 16 boxes hold 9 different genotypes but only 4 phenotypes. The most frequent single genotype is AaBbAaBb (14\tfrac14).
  • AaBb×aabbAaBb \times aabb (dihybrid test cross) gives 1 : 1 : 1 : 1.
  • An individual heterozygous for nn genes makes 2n2^n kinds of gamete.
  • Two parents both heterozygous for nn genes give 3n3^n genotypes and 2n2^n phenotypes.

Branch method for independent genes

P(combined)=P(gene 1 outcome)×P(gene 2 outcome)×…P(\text{combined}) = P(\text{gene 1 outcome}) \times P(\text{gene 2 outcome}) \times \dots
  • 34,14\tfrac34, \tfrac14dominant and recessive phenotype from Aa×AaAa \times Aa
  • 12,12\tfrac12, \tfrac12dominant and recessive phenotype from Aa×aaAa \times aa

Worked example

In peas, round seed (RR) is dominant to wrinkled (rr) and yellow (YY) is dominant to green (yy), on different chromosomes. Two RrYyRrYy plants are crossed. Find (a) the fraction of round green seeds, (b) the fraction with genotype RrYyRrYy, (c) the phenotype ratio if an RrYyRrYy plant is crossed with an rryyrryy plant instead.
Practice this conceptself-check · 4 quick reps

Sixteen boxes are not sixteen genotypes

The AaBb×AaBbAaBb \times AaBb square has 16 boxes, but several boxes share a genotype: there are 9 genotypes and, with complete dominance, 4 phenotypes. Answers of 16 count boxes, not genotypes or phenotypes.

9 : 3 : 3 : 1 needs both conditions

The ratio appears only when both parents are heterozygous for both genes AND the genes assort independently. Linked genes, or a parent homozygous for one gene, give a different ratio.

Summary — formulas & gotchas at a glance

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